SURXONDARYO VILOYATIDA MEVA YETISHTIRISH KO‘RSATKICHLARINI MODEL YORDAMIDA PROGNOZLASHTIRISH

Main Article Content

Abstract:

This article forecasts fruit production indicators in Surkhandarya region using ARIMA models. First, a brief overview of the ARIMA model is provided. The significance of the model was evaluated by MAPE, and the statistical significance of its parameters was assessed using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test. The properties of ACF and PACF for some popular models are summarized. The compliance of the residuals with the normal distribution law and the absence of autocorrelation in them were studied. As a result, forecast values up to 2028 were developed.

Article Details

How to Cite:

Majidova , D. . (2024). SURXONDARYO VILOYATIDA MEVA YETISHTIRISH KO‘RSATKICHLARINI MODEL YORDAMIDA PROGNOZLASHTIRISH. Science and Technology in the Modern World, 3(14), 106–108. Retrieved from https://in-academy.uz/index.php/zdift/article/view/46411

References:

Дегтярева, Н.А. Эконометрические модели анализа и прогнозирования: монография / Н.А. Дегтярева. – Челябинск : Цицеро, 2017. – 67 с.

Maxmudov N.M., Asqarova M.T., Umarov I.Yu. Makroiqtisodiy tahlil va prognozlash. Darslik.- T.: “Fan va texnologiya”, 2014. – 157 b.

Turaev B. E. Forecasting the volume of construction work using the ARIMA model (on the example of Surkhandarya region) //Scientific progress. – 2021. – Т. 2. – №. 2. – С. 1287-1290.